Friday, September 22, 2023
Nov 24

Written by: Diana West
Saturday, November 24, 2012 6:01 AM 

Former Rep. Tom Tancredo (R-CO) at dispels the notion that a soul-selling, GOP amnesty push would lead to Hispanic-driven GOP victories. Not only is such a strategy numerically a non-starter, it is also a political non-starter. Hispanics are registering as Democrats not because the GOP, at least theoretically, is identified with border control and immigration control, but because they identify with the Democrat Party. Think about it. If the one issue of amnesty drove Hispanics, they would have voted, for example, not only for John "Shamnesty" McCain in 2008, they would have voted for the party of Reagan in the 1988 election, two years after the historic amnesty legislation supported by Ronald Reagan passed. That 1986 act, of course, disastrously served as a magnet to draw millions more mainly Spanish-speaking illegal aliens to this country and "into the shadows" where they have been awaiting the "next" amnesty ever since. Thus, larges swaths of the country evolve via overwhelming, illegal demographic replacement into what my dad used to envision as "the northern tip of South America." It is not the "melting pot." It is not "diversity." It is cultural eradication pure and simple, and it has happened in one lifetime.    

"GOP Amnesty Panic" 

By Tom Tancredo

No one should be surprised at how many Republicans want join the amnesty parade being organized by the National Council of La Raza. Yet, while scapegoating the immigration issue was to be expected from the Republican establishment following the Romney defeat,  it is sad and disappointing to see a few conservatives stampeded into endorsing  suicidal proposals.

The Democratic Party leadership is ecstatic about the Republican panic over the “lost Latino vote.” But any Republican leader or pundit who believes that the Republican Party can reverse the 50-year history of Hispanic identification with the Democratic Party by endorsing the Democrats’ amnesty agenda is not only whistling past the graveyard, they are joining the gravediggers union.

First, it is something of an exaggeration to say true that Obama owes his 2012 victory to the Hispanic vote. It is hard to see how the 3 percent Hispanic vote in Ohio was more important to Obama than the eight-point Democrat edge in turnout.

But even if Obama and the Democratic Party think they owe his victory to the Hispanic vote, it is a huge jump to think that Republicans can win a majority of the Hispanic vote by supporting amnesty. Examining the 50-year history of the Hispanic vote tells us that is a delusion.

Neither amnesty nor immigration enforcement was an issue in 1996 when Clinton got 72 percent of the Hispanic vote, and even Mike Dukakis got 70 percent of that vote in 1988. And in 1976, when there was no immigration issue, Jimmy Carter got 82 percent of Hispanic votes against Gerald Ford. (It is interesting that the Pew Hispanic Center uses a Hispanic vote chart that begins with 1980, not 1976.) Mr. Republican Amnesty, John McCain, could not get a majority of Hispanic vote even in his home state, not in 2008 and not in his re-election bid in 2010.

The inconvenient truth of the matter is that Hispanics vote for Democrat candidates because – ready for this? – they are registered as Democrats by a 3-to-1 ratio. Thus, they vote as Democrats. The Republican Party can change this historic pattern only by registering more Hispanics as Republicans. And folks, that will be a lot harder than doubling or tripling the campaign budget for advertising in Spanish-language media over the last three months of a presidential campaign.

In Florida, where Obama won 60 percent of the Hispanic vote, no Republican in that state (with the possible exception of Jeb Bush) believes it was the immigration issue that motivated most Hispanic voters. Exit polls say Romney lost the majority of even Puerto Rican and Cuban-American voters – Hispanic citizens who do not worry about Grandma being deported.

In fact, a closer look at Florida tells the true story of what happened in the half-dozen states with large Hispanic populations. In 2006, Hispanic Republicans in Florida outnumbered Hispanic Democrats 414,185 to 369,902. But since 2006, Democrats registered more than 275,000 additional Hispanic voters and now have a 149,000 voter registration edge over Republican Hispanics. It was this tidal wave of newly registered Hispanic Democrats that beat Romney in Florida, not the immigration issue.

In Colorado, in the year 2000, Democrats enjoyed a 47-point registration edge among Hispanic registered voters – 61.7 Democrat to 13.9 percent Republican. That’s more than 3 to 1 and a larger edge than even New Mexico, which has a larger percentage of Hispanics in the total population. There is no evidence that voter registration edge had diminished by 2012. In Nevada, that edge was 43 percent. So, is it any wonder that Obama got more than 70 percent of that vote in Colorado and Nevada?

Republicans need to look at the forest, not the trees. Instead of caving on the amnesty issue, maybe the Republican establishment ought to ask themselves why Hispanics have been registering as Democrats by a 3 to 1 margin for the last 50 years. Hint: It probably has something to do with the lower economic status and low job skills of those new voters.

A second serious mistake is to believe the propaganda line that most Hispanics who voted for Obama did so mainly because of the immigration issue. All the polls, including the Pew Hispanic Center poll, showed that immigration ranked only fourth or fifth in importance to Hispanics, well below jobs, the economy, education and health care.

There is obviously another motivation at work in the Republican establishment’s rush to the “amnesty solution.” It serves as a convenient scapegoat to distract Republicans from a serious, in-depth examination of the real reasons for Romney’s loss.

No one will deny that the problem of Hispanic identification with the Democratic Party by a 3-to-1 ratio over the Republican Party takes on greater importance with the continuing growth of the Hispanic population. And no one should dispute that Republicans must do a much better job of communicating the Republican message to Hispanic citizens – and do it year-round, not just at election time. However, this is a long-term project that cuts across many issues, and that effort can only be damaged by a foolish and counterproductive scapegoating on the immigration issue.

<September 2023>
September, 2023
August, 2023
July, 2023
June, 2023
May, 2023
April, 2023
March, 2023
February, 2023
January, 2023
December, 2022
November, 2022
October, 2022
September, 2022
August, 2022
July, 2022
June, 2022
May, 2022
April, 2022
March, 2022
February, 2022
January, 2022
December, 2021
November, 2021
October, 2021
September, 2021
August, 2021
July, 2021
June, 2021
May, 2021
April, 2021
March, 2021
February, 2021
January, 2021
December, 2020
November, 2020
October, 2020
September, 2020
August, 2020
July, 2020
June, 2020
May, 2020
April, 2020
March, 2020
February, 2020
January, 2020
December, 2019
November, 2019
October, 2019
September, 2019
August, 2019
July, 2019
June, 2019
May, 2019
April, 2019
March, 2019
February, 2019
January, 2019
December, 2018
November, 2018
October, 2018
September, 2018
August, 2018
July, 2018
June, 2018
May, 2018
April, 2018
March, 2018
February, 2018
January, 2018
December, 2017
November, 2017
October, 2017
September, 2017
August, 2017
July, 2017
June, 2017
May, 2017
April, 2017
March, 2017
February, 2017
January, 2017
December, 2016
November, 2016
October, 2016
September, 2016
August, 2016
July, 2016
June, 2016
May, 2016
April, 2016
March, 2016
February, 2016
January, 2016
December, 2015
November, 2015
October, 2015
September, 2015
August, 2015
July, 2015
June, 2015
May, 2015
April, 2015
March, 2015
February, 2015
January, 2015
December, 2014
November, 2014
October, 2014
September, 2014
August, 2014
July, 2014
June, 2014
May, 2014
April, 2014
March, 2014
February, 2014
January, 2014
December, 2013
November, 2013
October, 2013
September, 2013
August, 2013
July, 2013
June, 2013
May, 2013
April, 2013
March, 2013
February, 2013
January, 2013
December, 2012
November, 2012
October, 2012
September, 2012
August, 2012
July, 2012
June, 2012
May, 2012
April, 2012
March, 2012
February, 2012
January, 2012
December, 2011
November, 2011
October, 2011
September, 2011
August, 2011
July, 2011
June, 2011
May, 2011
April, 2011
March, 2011
February, 2011
January, 2011
December, 2010
November, 2010
October, 2010
September, 2010
August, 2010
July, 2010
June, 2010
May, 2010
April, 2010
March, 2010
February, 2010
January, 2010
December, 2009
November, 2009
October, 2009
September, 2009
August, 2009
July, 2009
June, 2009
May, 2009
April, 2009
March, 2009
February, 2009
January, 2009
December, 2008
November, 2008
October, 2008
September, 2008
August, 2008
July, 2008
June, 2008
May, 2008
April, 2008
March, 2008
February, 2008
January, 2008
December, 2007
November, 2007
October, 2007
September, 2007
August, 2007
Privacy Statement  |  Terms Of Use
Copyright 2012 by Diana West